KAZ Minerals Reports Lower Copper Production in Q1 2025 Despite Aktogay Growth

KAZ Minerals Reports Lower Copper Production in Q1 2025 Despite Aktogay Growth
Photo: KAZ Minerals

KAZ Minerals reported a decrease in copper production in the first quarter of 2025 compared to the same period last year. The Kazakhstan-based producer attributed the decline primarily to lower ore grades across its operations, though output remained slightly above the level produced in the previous quarter. The company experienced reduced by-product volumes due to mining in areas with lower polymetallic content during the quarter.

KAZ Minerals is controlled by Kazakh businessmen Vladimir Kim and Oleg Novachuk and is one of Kazakhstan's largest copper producers, operating a portfolio of open-pit copper mines across Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan. The company focuses on large-scale, low-cost mining operations and has delivered production growth over the past decade, transforming from a diversified mining group into a pure-play copper producer. With operations at the Aktogay and Bozshakol open-pit mines, three underground mines in the East Region, and the Bozymchak copper-gold mine in Kyrgyzstan, KAZ Minerals is a key player in the regional metals sector.

Production Performance by Asset

The Aktogay mine demonstrated resilience with copper output increasing slightly, bucking the overall production trend. This performance reflects the mine's operational stability following the completion of its expansion project, which doubled sulphide ore processing capacity. The Aktogay operation continues to serve as the company's flagship asset and primary production driver.

Bozshakol mine experienced a more pronounced decline, with copper production falling compared to the same period last year. This decrease contributed significantly to the overall production shortfall and reflects the challenges associated with ore grade variability at the Pavlodar region operation. The mine's performance highlights the impact of geological factors on quarterly production metrics.

The Eastern Region operations, combined with the Bozymchak mine in Kyrgyzstan, produced less copper than the previous year. The Bozymchak operation has been transitioning from open-pit to underground mining, which has affected production volumes as the company adapts to new extraction methods.

By-Product Performance and Market Impact

Gold production declined significantly, reflecting the company's statement about mining in areas with lower polymetallic content. This reduction in precious metal by-products impacts overall revenue generation, as gold provides valuable additional income streams for copper producers.

Silver output showed marginal improvement, demonstrating relative stability in this by-product category. However, zinc concentrate production also dropped, continuing the trend of reduced polymetallic content in processed ore.

Copper sales were lower than production volumes, primarily due to stockpiling of cathode copper in the supply chain. This inventory build-up suggests either strategic positioning for better pricing or logistical challenges in the copper distribution network.

Industry Context and Market Position

KAZ Minerals operates within a global copper market experiencing significant dynamics in 2025. The company's production challenges occur against a backdrop of rising global copper demand driven by electrification and renewable energy infrastructure development. Despite short-term production headwinds, copper prices have shown strength, with analysts projecting continued growth throughout 2025.

The company's focus on large-scale, low-cost operations positions it competitively on the global cost curve, particularly important as the industry faces supply constraints and rising demand. KAZ Minerals has announced plans for a copper smelter in Kazakhstan's Abay region, scheduled for completion by 2028, which will process concentrate from its Bozshakol and Aktogay operations.

Copper remains essential for global infrastructure development, renewable energy systems, and electric vehicle manufacturing, with industry forecasts suggesting demand could grow substantially by 2050. KAZ Minerals' operational performance in early 2025 reflects the ongoing challenges facing copper producers in maintaining consistent output while navigating ore grade variations and operational complexities. The company's diversified asset base across Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan provides geographic spread, though production optimization remains crucial for capitalizing on favorable long-term copper market fundamentals.

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